TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Amed Sportif vs. Rams Başakşehir FK
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Amed Sportif vs Rams Başakşehir FK?

Volume:
$76,090

Amed

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 3:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Amed

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,665
N/A
N/A
$20,405
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Amed Sportif

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Basaksehir

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,549
N/A
N/A
$10,949
Settled
No
polymarket

Rams Başakşehir FK

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,871
N/A
N/A
$8,606
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Rams Başakşehir FK)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Super Lig soccer match between Amed Sportif and Rams Başakşehir FK scheduled for September 13, 2026. Markets exist for Amed Sportif winning, Rams Başakşehir FK winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution differs between Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No' for win/loss markets, while Kalshi's resolution is less clear.Hero tip: Consider the risk of a game cancellation. Polymarket's explicit 'No' resolution on cancellation creates a potential edge if you believe a cancellation is likely, but Kalshi's ambiguity introduces uncertainty.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event, with fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting)."
  • Kalshi: Kalshi markets generally remain open if an event is postponed. No explicit cancellation resolution rule is provided, implying reliance on Kalshi's standard procedures which may result in a no-action or 50/50 split.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Amed Sportif and Rams Başakşehir FK.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Amed vs Basaksehir professional Super Lig soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Amed market occurs if Amed wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Basaksehir market occurs if Basaksehir secures a victory within regulation time. If the match concludes with an equal score after regulation, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after normal time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market aggregates individual predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making regarding the Turkish Super Lig match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can occur for several reasons. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price formation. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform differs—currently Polymarket has a volume of $76,090 and Kalshi has a volume of $75,963. Differences in liquidity and market participation can lead to divergent prices, even for the same underlying event. These variations present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders seek to profit from price differences across platforms.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Amed Sportif or Rams Başakşehir FK would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Major tactical announcements from either manager, or even significant weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, could influence the odds. Unexpected events, like a controversial referee decision in a related match, might also indirectly affect trading activity in this market.