TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 2:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the winner of the professional boxing match between Amanda Serrano and Lucrecia Anabella Manzur on Kalshi, with a current probability of 99.0% for Amanda Serrano and 1.0% for Lucrecia Anabella Manzur. The resolution source is based on the match result originally scheduled for August 21, 2026. Watch for updates leading up to the event on August 22, 2026, as this is the estimated resolution date.
If Amanda Serrano wins the Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Anabella Manzur boxing match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucrecia Anabella Manzur wins the Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Anabella Manzur boxing match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader sentiment and market-specific dynamics. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and proprietary models, prediction markets reflect the aggregated views of informed participants. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially as fight specifics — such as training updates or weigh-in results — emerge. Monitoring both can provide a fuller picture of expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the official declaration from recognized authorities or widely accepted sports institutions, ensuring an impartial and transparent resolution process that aligns with public records.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including pre-fight press conferences, training updates, injury reports, or changes in betting momentum. Any news affecting fighter readiness, public perception, or even broader sports trends may influence trader sentiment. Additionally, fluctuations in overall betting volume — especially around key dates like weigh-ins — often trigger notable price movements, reflecting evolving expectations among participants.