TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the Liga Portugal fixture between Alverca and Braga, determining if each team scores a goal during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the match. The result depends solely on whether both teams find the back of the net within regular play.
If Alverca and Braga both score a goal in the Alverca vs Braga Liga Portugal match originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market’s price is determined by traders actively buying and selling contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a 'Yes' outcome (both teams to score) is more likely than the sportsbook implies, the price will rise, and vice versa. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a lot of money has been traded on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams will score) or 'No' (one or both teams will not score). The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating a higher perceived probability, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately reflect the market's belief about the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Alverca and Braga score at least one goal during the match. Official match data, as reported by recognized sports data providers, will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be a clear 'Yes' if both teams score, and 'No' if one or both teams fail to score during the regular match time.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Alverca or Braga would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the game (e.g., strong winds or heavy rain), could also affect trading activity. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-match commentary, could lead to traders adjusting their positions and altering the price on Kalshi.