TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 5:34 AM EST
Kalshi
Alpha Dominion Nation and Vitality Academy compete in a Counter-Strike 2 match during the United21 2026 tournament on July 12, 2026. This market tracks the outcome of the second map played in their best-of-three series.
Resolution is determined by the winner of map 2 in the scheduled CS2 match between Alpha Dominion Nation and Vitality Academy on July 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT as part of the United21 2026 tournament. Each team has a corresponding market outcome; whichever team wins map 2 triggers a Yes resolution for their respective market.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction through continuous pricing, which can lead to sharper or earlier signals than fixed sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader trading community sees value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's probability, ranging from near zero to near one hundred. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position, and the spread between bid and ask prices indicates market tightness and liquidity at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the Map 2 result is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result reported by the event organizers or recognized esports reporting outlets. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments unfold. Resolution is binary—one outcome will be confirmed as correct, and all positions will settle accordingly.
Several factors could shift trader positioning in this market. Team roster changes, recent performance trends, or injury announcements affecting either squad may trigger repricing. Pre-match analysis from esports commentators or strategic breakdowns could influence sentiment. Live map bans or picks during the match selection phase often move odds as teams reveal their tactical approach. Additionally, early round outcomes or momentum shifts during Map 2 itself will drive continuous trading activity. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for developments that could impact market prices.