TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 4:54 AM EST
Kalshi
Alpha Dominion Nation and Vitality Academy compete in a Counter-Strike 2 match during the United21 2026 tournament on July 12, 2026. This market tracks the outcome of the first map played in their best-of-three series.
Resolution is determined by the winner of map 1 in the scheduled CS2 match between Alpha Dominion Nation and Vitality Academy on July 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT as part of the United21 2026 tournament. Each team has a corresponding market outcome; whichever team wins map 1 triggers a Yes resolution for their respective market.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, particularly if one venue has sharper or more active trading in esports matchups. Comparing both sources can reveal where smart money is positioning itself.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's consensus probability, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As new information emerges or trading activity shifts, prices adjust in real time. You can enter or exit positions at the current market price or place limit orders to trade at your target price.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official result of the Map 1 contest between the two teams. Until that point, traders can continue to adjust their positions as new developments or team information surfaces.
Key catalysts include roster changes, player injuries, or lineup announcements from either team that affect competitive balance. Recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and map-specific win rates can shift trader sentiment significantly. Scrim results or public commentary from coaches and analysts may also influence confidence in either side. Additionally, broader esports news—such as sponsorship deals or organizational changes—can occasionally impact team morale or focus heading into the match.