TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 5:24 AM EST
Kalshi
Alpha Dominion Nation and INFURITY Gaming compete in a Counter-Strike 2 match during the United21 2026 tournament on June 21, 2026. This market tracks the outcome of the second map played in their best-of-three series.
Resolution is determined by the winner of map 2 in the scheduled CS2 match between Alpha Dominion Nation and INFURITY Gaming on June 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT as part of the United21 2026 tournament. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins that specific map.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes based on trader conviction and real money at stake. For this matchup, comparing Kalshi's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers. Prediction markets tend to be efficient at pricing information once volume builds, making them a useful cross-check against conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, buyers and sellers adjust their bids and offers in real time. Your position's value fluctuates with the market price, and you can exit at any time by selling your shares at the prevailing ask or bid, making the platform's pricing transparent and responsive to new developments.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the Map 2 result is final and verifiable from credible public sources covering the esports event. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match conclusion, with no ambiguity about which team secured the map victory. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match concludes and the result is publicly announced, allowing traders to settle their positions with certainty.
Several factors can shift odds on this market before it resolves. Team roster changes, recent map-specific performance data, and head-to-head history on this particular map all influence trader positioning. In-game meta shifts, patch updates affecting weapon balance or map layout, and player form leading up to the match can trigger repricing. Public statements from coaches or analysts, injury news, or surprise lineup adjustments may also prompt traders to reassess their conviction. Real-time momentum during earlier maps in the series can reshape expectations for Map 2 specifically.