TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
All Gamers and Team Heretics will compete in the first map of their Valorant match at the Esports World Cup 2026 on July 3, 2026. The outcome depends on which team wins this individual map during the scheduled competition.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of map 1 in the Esports World Cup 2026 Valorant match between All Gamers and Team Heretics, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the map.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader consensus on probability. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who have financial incentive to forecast accurately. Comparing the implied probability here to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp bettors are positioning themselves ahead of the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal probability assigned by the last matched trade, and the spread between bid and ask widens or tightens based on liquidity and conviction. As new information surfaces or trading volume increases, prices adjust instantly to incorporate that signal, ensuring the market remains responsive to changing expectations about the match result.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the final result of Map 1 in the All Gamers versus Team Heretics matchup. Once the map concludes and the winner is officially announced, the market will settle accordingly, and traders holding the correct outcome will receive their payout. Timing may vary slightly depending on when official results are published and verified.
Several factors could shift odds before this market closes. Roster announcements or player substitutions for either team may alter perceived strength. Recent tournament results, scrim performance, or public statements from coaches and players can signal confidence or concern. Meta shifts in the game itself—balance patches or map-specific strategy innovations—could favor one side over the other. Injury reports or unexpected roster changes announced shortly before the match typically trigger sharp repricing. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for breaking developments that traders will immediately incorporate into prices.