TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the same Eredivisie match. Outcomes are determined by whether Alkmaar or Den Haag wins by a margin exceeding specific goal differences.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Alkmaar or Den Haag wins the August 8, 2026 Eredivisie match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The first two markets require Alkmaar to win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, respectively, to resolve to Yes. The latter two markets require Den Haag to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively, to resolve to Yes. If the condition is met for the specific market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through their bets, which determine the current implied probability distribution around the spread. The platform’s pricing mechanism reflects the aggregate expectations of participants, adjusting continuously with each new trade. This decentralized approach allows for rapid shifts in pricing as market participants react to new data or changing perceptions about the teams’ performance.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be determined by official match statistics and confirmed scores from recognized sports authorities, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategies, and recent head-to-head performance are major signals that could shift this market. Additionally, weather conditions on the day of the match, disciplinary actions, and any last-minute lineup announcements may also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert analysis leading up to the game can cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess their positions based on new information.