TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 2:17 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming WTA singles match scheduled for 2026-09-22 09:30 UTC: if Alina Charaeva wins the match, this market resolves to "Alina Charaeva"; if Sofia Kenin wins, it resolves to "Sofia Kenin". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official WTA Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming WTA singles match scheduled for 2026-09-22 09:30 UTC: if Alina Charaeva wins the match, this market resolves to "Alina Charaeva"; if Sofia Kenin wins, it resolves to "Sofia Kenin". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official WTA Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Opinion, aims to represent the true probabilities as perceived by those participating. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets can dynamically adjust as new information emerges and more people weigh in on the likely outcome of the Charaeva-Kenin match. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their opinions, the prices adjust, providing a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each player winning. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair price to pay for a contract that pays out if a specific outcome occurs in the Charaeva-Kenin match. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Charaeva-Kenin match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially recorded as the winner of the match, and the market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the result. It's important to monitor the official announcements for the definitive result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either Charaeva or Kenin could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from tennis experts, while not directly reflected in the market, can indirectly influence trading behavior. A strong performance by either player in a preceding tournament could also lead to increased confidence and a corresponding adjustment in the market prices.