TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 9:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Alianza FC and CD Tolima, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alianza FC" if Alianza FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Tolima" if CD Tolima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Alianza FC and CD Tolima, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alianza FC" if Alianza FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Tolima" if CD Tolima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the beliefs of thousands of independent traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information more efficiently and can offer tighter spreads once volume builds. For this matchup, comparing the implied probabilities from both venues can reveal where professional traders and casual bettors disagree on the likelihood of each team scoring first.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the Alianza FC versus CD Tolima match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regulation time. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated and triggered as soon as the event outcome is confirmed through established sports data sources.
Several factors could shift odds before kickoff, including team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players, lineup announcements, recent form and goal-scoring trends, and weather conditions at the venue. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often move the market in the hours before the match as they deploy capital based on proprietary analysis. Breaking news about player availability or tactical changes can trigger rapid repricing. Additionally, if one team is perceived as having a significant advantage in attacking prowess or set-piece delivery, traders may accumulate positions on that side, driving its price higher and compressing the odds for the opposing outcome.