TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 7:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Atlético Nacional will win the soccer match against Alianza FC scheduled for August 29, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Atlético Nacional winning stands at 89.5%, with a second outcome of a draw at 8.5%. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, and resolved using official statistics from Dimayor or consensus of credible reporting. Watch for the match result on August 29, 2026, as it will determine the market outcome.
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Saturday, August 29, 2026 between Alianza FC and Atlético Nacional.
The event resolves based on the result of the San Lorenzo vs Nacional professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if the designated team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through aggregated trader sentiment, which often differs from traditional sportsbook odds that incorporate bookmaker margins and different risk models. Prediction market odds reflect real-time participant beliefs without the built-in house edge found in sportsbooks. For the Alianza FC vs. Atlético Nacional match-up market, this can lead to tighter spreads and more volatile pricing as trading volume grows. Sportsbook lines may also adjust based on broader public betting trends, while Polymarket prices move with each trade. The difference provides two distinct views of expected outcomes — one from decentralized traders and another from institutional sports betting operators.