This event group covers a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Alianza FC (Valledupar) and América de Cali scheduled for February 28, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Alianza FC win, América de Cali win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES upon game cancellation with no makeup, while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause. This creates a logical divergence in how cancellation scenarios are handled across platforms.
Hero Tip:
Before the match date, confirm with both platforms their exact cancellation protocol. If the game is canceled, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve YES but Kalshi's omnibus market to potentially void or follow a different rule. Traders holding positions on both platforms face asymmetric risk.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all outcomes. Draw market includes explicit cancellation clause: resolves YES if game is canceled with no makeup. Win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Resolution source is official DIMAYOR statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match.
Kalshi: Single omnibus market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Alianza win, América win, Tie). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Scope limited to 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.