TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international soccer qualifier between Algeria and Zambia. The match result will determine the resolution based on which team secures a victory in regular time, with ties representing a separate possible outcome. The contest reflects competitive dynamics in African football qualifying pathways.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Algeria vs Zambia AFCON Qualifiers match scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Algeria, a win for Zambia, or a tie. If either team wins within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie at the end of regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following platform procedures. The event exclusively considers regulation-time results, with no account taken of extended play or post-match penalties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market price closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news and events, allowing for dynamic price discovery related to the Algeria vs Zambia match.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Algeria vs Zambia match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the official outcome, and payouts will be processed accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions would likely impact trading activity. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also influence the market. Furthermore, weather conditions at the match location and any geopolitical factors affecting team travel or performance could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market related to the Algeria vs Zambia match.