TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 10:50 PM EST
Kalshi
A World Cup soccer match between two teams is scheduled for June 27, 2026, with markets tracking whether either team wins the first half by more than a goal-and-a-half margin.
Resolution is determined by the goal differential during the first half of the Algeria vs Austria FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026. Only goals scored during the first half count toward this event. The event includes thresholds for both Algeria winning the first half by more than 1.5 goals and Austria winning the first half by more than 1.5 goals. Each threshold resolves independently based on whether the actual first-half margin exceeds 1.5 goals. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on team form, injury reports, and historical head-to-head data, prediction markets incorporate those signals plus live betting sentiment and sharp money flow. For the Algeria vs Austria first-half spread, comparing Kalshi implied probability to published expert predictions reveals whether the market is pricing in consensus expectations or contrarian positioning. Significant gaps often signal either undervalued opportunities or analyst blind spots.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Algeria vs Austria first-half spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the spread outcome will occur by the end of the first half. The contract price—ranging from 0 to 100 cents—directly represents implied probability. Traders buy at the ask price if bullish or sell at the bid if bearish. Kalshi's order book aggregates all buy and sell interest, with the midpoint typically reflecting fair value. Liquidity, order size, and time to resolution all influence the bid-ask spread and price discovery process.
The Algeria vs Austria: First Half Spread market resolves on Jun 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official first-half result of the match, with the outcome assessed at the conclusion of the first 45 minutes of play. The specific spread threshold and whether it is met by the final first-half score will determine whether the contract settles to 100 cents or 0 cents. Official match data from the governing sports authority is used to confirm the result.
Key catalysts for Algeria vs Austria first-half spread odds include team lineup announcements, injury updates to key players, recent form and head-to-head history, and pre-match media sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and referee assignments can also shift trader expectations. As match day approaches, sharp money inflows, social media momentum, and late-breaking tactical news often trigger repricing. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or unexpected tactical adjustments will cause rapid price movement until first-half conclusion.