TOTAL VOLUME:
$139.4b
24H VOL:
$152,239,259
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,540,891,627
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,622,981,384
471,589
Markets across
36,389
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,918
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Adrian Meronk will win the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. Currently, Kalshi gives Meronk an 89.0% probability of winning, while Casey Jarvis is at 9.1%. The market resolves based on whether Josele Ballester wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, as determined by the official tournament results. Keep a close watch on the final round of play scheduled for October 4, 2026, as the outcome of that day will determine the winner and the market’s resolution.
If Cameron Adam wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kiradech Aphibarnrat wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Armitage wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Bairstow wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josele Ballester wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Bautista wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oliver Bekker wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joshua Berry wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucas Bjerregaard wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Bland wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Brown wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Bryant wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christiaan Burke wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dean Burmester wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rafa Cabrera Bello wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jorge Campillo wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ivan Cantero Gutierrez wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frankie Capan wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luis Carrera wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Filippo Celli wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Todd Clements wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sean Crocker wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Cronje wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If MJ Daffue wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jens Dantorp wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louis De Jager wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joe Dean wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alejandro Del Rey wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thomas Detry wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke Donald wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hennie Du Plessis wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ross Fisher wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Fitzpatrick wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Fitzpatrick wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tommy Fleetwood wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Will Florimo wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Grant Forrest wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Frittelli wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Gavins wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joel Girrbach wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Branden Grace wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan Gumberg wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Padraig Harrington wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyrrell Hatton wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Björn Hellgren wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Helligkilde wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucas Herbert wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Calum Hill wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joshua Hill wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Hillier wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charley Hoffman wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Hollick wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rikuya Hoshino wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charles Howell III wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott Jamieson wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jazz Janewattananond wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Casey Jarvis wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron John wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryggs Johnston wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tobias Jonsson wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Jordan wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nathan Kimsey wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Kinhult wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeong-Weon Ko wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooks Koepka wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael La Sasso wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joakim Lagergren wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pablo Larrazábal wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Law wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thriston Lawrence wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marc Leishman wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Niklas Lemke wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mikael Lindberg wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oliver Lindell wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke List wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Herman Loubser wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert MacIntyre wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jay Mackenzie wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matteo Manassero wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Mansell wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Marchesani wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrian Meronk wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Micheluzzi wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Guido Migliozzi wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francesco Molinari wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Morrison wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Félix Mory wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Naidoo wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Noren wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Niklas Nørgaard Møller wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Declan O'Donovan wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacob Skov Olesen wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wade Ormsby wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carlos Ortiz wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Palmer wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Renato Paratore wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeremy Paul wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Peake wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eddie Pepperell wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Victor Perez wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Haydn Porteous wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charles Porter wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ian Poulter wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yurav Premlall wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jaco Prinsloo wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Puig wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Ravetto wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rocco Repetto Taylor wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If JC Ritchie wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandon Robinson-Thompson wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Rodrigues wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Rose wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thomas Rosenmueller wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrien Saddier wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matias Sanchez wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jayden Trey Schaper wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benjamin Schmidt wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcel Schneider wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ollie Schniederjans wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Freddy Schott wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jason Scrivener wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Senior wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shubhankar Sharma wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Callum Shinkwin wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcel Siem wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Samuel Simpson wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Smith wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elvis Smylie wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Sterne wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandon Stone wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sepp Straka wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ockie Strydom wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caleb Surratt wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor Syme wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sebastian Söderberg wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pavit Tangkamolprasert wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Thompson wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hugo Townsend wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austen Truslow wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Peter Uihlein wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Vaillant wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Van Tonder wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Quim Vidal wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Voke wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Euan Walker wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bubba Watson wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lee Westwood wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Danny Willett wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oliver Wilson wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeff Winther wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Young wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Yuan wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yanhan Zhou wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or promotional offers. This market, driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts, tends to incorporate a broader range of information and can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies between prediction markets and sportsbooks can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price differences.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing each golfer winning the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of that golfer’s probability of winning; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, performance updates, and other relevant information. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism, offering a unique perspective compared to fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship is verified against credible public reporting. The official results from the tournament organizers will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract. Traders who hold a contract for the eventual winner will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing golfers will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome based on the official tournament results.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding golfer injuries, changes in form during other recent tournaments, or adjustments to playing conditions at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship could trigger shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts, particularly strong winds or rain, could also impact player performance and market prices. Furthermore, any significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate changing sentiment and lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders seeking to capitalize on potential opportunities.