TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 12:19 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Alexander Zverev and Luciano Darderi, scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Alexander Zverev vs. Luciano Darderi match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Alexander Zverev and Luciano Darderi, scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Alexander Zverev vs. Luciano Darderi match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can trade on Polymarket to capitalize on the discrepancy. This can lead to prediction market odds becoming more accurate as the event approaches, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible exact score in the Zverev vs. Darderi match, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if many traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Zverev vs. Darderi match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score will be determined by the official score reported by the tournament organizers. Any potential disputes will be resolved by referencing the official tournament results, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. The outcome will be based on the final, official score of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to either Alexander Zverev or Luciano Darderi would likely have a significant impact. Updates on their physical condition, training progress, or pre-match assessments could all move the market. Additionally, changes in weather conditions at the tournament location, or any unexpected announcements related to the match schedule, could also cause fluctuations in trading volume and price. Public sentiment and expert analysis surrounding the players’ form could also play a role.