TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 12:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which player—Alexander Zverev or Lorenzo Sonego—will win the third set of their match at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. Currently, Kalshi gives Alexander Zverev a 53.0% probability of winning the set, while Lorenzo Sonego is at 49.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the match, as determined by If Alexander Zverev wins set 3 in the Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. Keep a close eye on the match progression leading up to the estimated resolution date of 2026-08-30, as that marks the end of the betting period for this set winner market.
The market resolves based on which player wins the third set of the Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round of 128. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any play occurs, the market settles at a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. In cases of retirement during the match, markets that can be settled based on completed play will do so, while unresolved markets will settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the third set will be determined by the on-court performance of the players during that portion of the match, and the result will be finalized shortly after the match concludes.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute player injuries, changes to the match schedule, weather interruptions, or any significant momentum swings during the first two sets that influence expectations for set three. As the match approaches, any news about player form, strategy adjustments, or even broader tournament dynamics could cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment and pricing.