TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 4:46 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul, scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Alexander Bublik vs. Tommy Paul match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul, scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Alexander Bublik vs. Tommy Paul match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering on what they believe will happen. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of betting occurs, as the market adjusts to new information and opinions regarding the Bublik vs. Paul match. Keep in mind that prediction markets are forward-looking, incorporating expectations about future events.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score, and the price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium where buyers and sellers agree on the value. This creates a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likelihood of each outcome in the Bublik vs. Paul match. The market's price is solely determined by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Bublik vs. Paul match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score will be determined by the official score reported by the tournament organizers. The platform will then verify this information and settle the market accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the final score. Traders should monitor official sources for the match results as this will be the basis for settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or even shifts in expert analysis could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the Bublik vs. Paul match could also impact sentiment. Major upsets in the tournament or significant changes in player form are likely to be reflected in the market prices as traders adjust their predictions.