TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 9:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Adrian Mannarino in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 37. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Adrian Mannarino in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 37. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the outcome of 37 or more total games. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability assessment. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are attempting to capitalize on perceived mispricings, and the market price reflects the aggregated belief of all participants. The more traders who believe 37 or more games will be played, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino match, specifically the total number of games played, will determine whether the market settles in favor of 37 or more games. The final game count will be sourced from official tennis authorities and widely available sports data providers to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player fitness, such as an injury to either Bublik or Mannarino, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in playing surface conditions or weather forecasts, if the match is outdoors, could also impact expectations about the length of the match and therefore the total games played. Additionally, early performance in the match itself, even just the first few games, could shift trader sentiment and cause the market to react quickly.