TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi: Set 3 Winner
kalshi

Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi: Set 3 Winner

Volume:
$23,170

Benjamin Bonzi

 - Kalshi

Benjamin Bonzi - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 2:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Benjamin Bonzi

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,089
N/A
N/A
$11,536
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Molcan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,080
N/A
N/A
$8,167
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market tracks the outcome of the third set in a professional tennis match between Alex Molcan and Benjamin Bonzi at the 2026 US Open. It focuses specifically on determining which player will win that particular set. The event is part of the tournament's early rounds, reflecting competitive play between the two athletes under official Grand Slam conditions.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the third set in the specified professional tennis match. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any play occurs, it will settle at a fair price. Postponements or delays allow the market to remain open until the rescheduled match concludes, with settlement occurring within two weeks after completion. In cases where a player retires during the match, any markets determinable from completed play will resolve accordingly, while unresolved markets will settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. The Exchange retains sole discretion in determining fair prices when necessary, and explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing tennis league or tournament organizers.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent either outcome. The current implied probability reflects the most recent trading activity and volume of $23,170, adjusting dynamically as new information about player form, game conditions, or in-match performance emerges.

Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, changes in serve performance, breaks of serve during the match, and any notable shifts in momentum. As the set progresses, updates from live scoreboards, expert commentary, and in-game statistics may all influence trader sentiment and drive price movements leading up to resolution.