TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 1:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the second set in a professional tennis match between Alex Molcan and Benjamin Bonzi at the 2026 US Open. It focuses specifically on which player will claim victory in that particular set. The event is part of the tournament's early rounds, reflecting competitive performance under Grand Slam conditions.
The market resolves based on the winner of the second set in the specified professional tennis match. If Alex Molcan wins Set 2, his corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Benjamin Bonzi wins Set 2, his market resolves to Yes. Should the match fail to commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any play occurs, all markets resolve to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep markets open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. In cases of retirement during play, markets that can be settled definitively based on completed action will resolve accordingly, while unresolved markets settle at a Fair Market Price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of set two will be compared against official match records to close all positions and determine final payouts for traders.
Key signals include player injuries, momentum swings in early Set 2 games, and serve performance metrics. A break point or service fault from either competitor can trigger rapid shifts in trader sentiment. Additionally, crowd energy and umpire calls may influence perceptions of control, moving this market closer to Aug 30, 2026 as the set progresses toward its conclusion.