TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 8:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which player will win the opening set when Alex Michelsen faces Rafael Jodar in the 2026 French Open Men's Singles Round of 32. On Kalshi, Rafael Jodar to win set 1 stands at 68.0%, while Alex Michelsen to win set 1 is at 33.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result of set 1 in their professional tennis match. Watch for the match outcome on May 29, 2026, when this first-round encounter is scheduled to take place.
The market resolves on May 29, 2026. The outcome is determined by the official result of Set 1 in the Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar match. Once the set concludes and the winner is confirmed through official match records, the market settles to reflect which player won that opening set. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The resolution is binary: either Michelsen or Jodar will be credited with the Set 1 victory based on the final score of that set alone.
Several factors could shift odds before May 29, 2026. Recent player performance updates, injury reports, or fitness concerns for either Michelsen or Jodar will influence trader sentiment. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and match scheduling details may affect expectations about playing style and advantage. Head-to-head history and recent form in similar tournaments can trigger repricing as new analysis circulates. Betting syndicates or informed traders with inside information may accumulate positions, moving the market. Pre-match commentary from analysts and coaching staff can sway perception. As the match approaches, any last-minute roster or condition changes will likely prompt sharp traders to adjust their positions, causing visible price movement on the Kalshi order book.