TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 12:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which player will win the opening set when Alex de Minaur faces Jakub Mensik in their 2026 French Open Men's Singles Round of 32 match. On Kalshi, de Minaur is favored to take set 1 at 67.0%, while Mensik is priced at 32.5%. The market resolves based on the official result from the French Open tournament. Watch for the match outcome on May 29, 2026, when these competitors take the court in Paris.
The market is scheduled to resolve on May 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the first set in the Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik match. The outcome depends on which player wins the required number of games to claim the set under standard tennis rules. Once the set concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning contract. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any potential postponements or cancellations that could affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could shift market pricing before the match begins. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface performance history all influence trader confidence. Court conditions—indoor versus outdoor, hard court speed, humidity—matter significantly for both players' styles. Pre-match warm-up reports and player fitness updates circulating on social media can sway sentiment. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may also move odds. Additionally, any changes to match scheduling or opponent information could prompt recalibration of the probability on Kalshi.