TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$17,812

Alex de Minaur

 - Kalshi

Alex de Minaur - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 12:16 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alex de Minaur

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,775
N/A
N/A
$11,215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jakub Mensik

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,037
N/A
N/A
$5,294
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which player will win the opening set when Alex de Minaur faces Jakub Mensik in their 2026 French Open Men's Singles Round of 32 match. On Kalshi, de Minaur is favored to take set 1 at 67.0%, while Mensik is priced at 32.5%. The market resolves based on the official result from the French Open tournament. Watch for the match outcome on May 29, 2026, when these competitors take the court in Paris.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically build in a vigorish and adjust lines less frequently, while prediction markets update instantly as new information surfaces. For the Alex de Minaur vs Mensik Set 1 matchup, comparing Kalshi pricing to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers. Prediction markets tend to be efficient at pricing player form, recent head-to-head results, and surface conditions.

The market is scheduled to resolve on May 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the first set in the Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik match. The outcome depends on which player wins the required number of games to claim the set under standard tennis rules. Once the set concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning contract. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any potential postponements or cancellations that could affect the resolution timeline.

Several factors could shift market pricing before the match begins. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface performance history all influence trader confidence. Court conditions—indoor versus outdoor, hard court speed, humidity—matter significantly for both players' styles. Pre-match warm-up reports and player fitness updates circulating on social media can sway sentiment. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may also move odds. Additionally, any changes to match scheduling or opponent information could prompt recalibration of the probability on Kalshi.