TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 5:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Aleksi "Aleksib" Virolainen records 3 or more kills with the HE (High Explosive) Grenade during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as shown on HLTV.org weapon statistics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV Aleksib weapon stats for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/players/weapon/9816/aleksib?event=8301 If the HLTV weapon stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Aleksi "Aleksib" Virolainen records 3 or more kills with the HE (High Explosive) Grenade during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as shown on HLTV.org weapon statistics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV Aleksib weapon stats for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/players/weapon/9816/aleksib?event=8301 If the HLTV weapon stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds serve different purposes. Sportsbooks typically offer fixed or slowly-adjusted lines set by oddsmakers, while prediction markets like this one reflect real-time consensus from active traders continuously repricing based on incoming data. For esports performance metrics such as individual player grenade kills, prediction markets often capture granular community insight faster than conventional betting venues, since traders can react instantly to team announcements, roster changes, or recent gameplay footage.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders that determine the odds in real time. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of whether Aleksib will achieve the 3-or-more HE grenade kill threshold, with each trade updating the market's implied probability. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices adjust to new information about player performance or team strategy.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once Stage 3 concludes and official match statistics are finalized. The outcome is determined by verified grenade elimination counts from credible public sources covering the event. Once the data is confirmed and available, the market will settle based on whether Aleksib's total HE grenade kills meet or exceed the 3-kill threshold for that stage.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before Jun 15, 2026. Recent team scrimmages or public practice footage showing Aleksib's grenade usage patterns may influence trader conviction. Roster changes, map pool announcements, or opponent lineup reveals could alter strategic expectations around grenade utility. Injury reports or player form updates, as well as earlier stage results demonstrating his performance trajectory, would likely trigger repricing. Any official commentary from coaches or analysts about in-game tactics could also sway market sentiment.