TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Aleksandar Vukic 3-0
- Polymarket
Aleksandar Vukic 3-0 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 31, 2026
Closed: Aug 30, 6:12 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This event group covers the exact final score and total sets played in the ATP US Open tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Rei Sakamoto scheduled for August 30, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Divergence between exact score resolution and total sets threshold resolution, particularly for matches ending 3-1 and incomplete matchesHero tip: Traders should avoid cross-platform hedging between exact score markets on Polymarket and the total sets market on Limitless, as they resolve differently for matches ending 3-1 and any incomplete matches. Focus on one platform's resolution logic per trade.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves strictly to exact final set scores (3-0, 3-1, 3-2) or 'Not Completed' for canceled/incomplete matches. Key quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".'
- Limitless: Resolves to YES if total sets completed equals or exceeds 4, NO otherwise. Incomplete matches resolve 50-50. Key quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Polymarket
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Aleksandar Vukic and Rei Sakamoto, scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Aleksandar Vukic vs. Rei Sakamoto match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Limitless
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Rei Sakamoto in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 4. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. On Polymarket, liquidity constraints and user activity can create price gaps compared to Limitless. Each platform calculates its odds based on available capital and trader positioning, meaning that even for the Vukic vs. Sakamoto exact score market, the leading outcomes and their probabilities may shift independently. Differences in volume — currently around $0 across venues — and user base behavior further explain why Polymarket and Limitless show varied pricing for this market.
Key signals include player injuries, changes to the match venue or conditions, and recent performance trends from practice sessions or warm-up events. Any last-minute updates that shift perceptions of control or stamina can move this market sharply, especially as the start time nears, with traders rapidly adjusting probabilities based on the latest intelligence.
