TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory in a soccer match between Alcains and Sertanense. It determines whether either team wins by a specific number of goals or more during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The outcome depends solely on the final score after 90 minutes of play, including stoppage time.
The event consists of four separate markets, each defining a specific winning margin threshold for either Alcains or Sertanense in regular time of the Taca de Portugal match scheduled for August 30, 2026. All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the stated team secures a victory exceeding the designated goal differential. Each market operates independently, meaning resolution for one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and unique positioning. While sportsbooks may set a static spread based on historical data and analyst forecasts, prediction markets adjust dynamically as new information emerges and trader sentiment shifts. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on market activity and perceived team strengths leading up to Aug 30, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after regulation time will determine whether Alcains meets the spread condition, and the market will close based on that official result.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or weather conditions could significantly impact this market as Aug 30, 2026 approaches. Strong recent performances or momentum shifts may also sway trader sentiment. Any last-minute lineup announcements or tactical decisions by coaches can cause rapid adjustments in how the spread is priced, reflecting updated expectations for the outcome in regulation time.