TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 4:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in Uruguay's top league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Albion vs Progreso professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026: Albion win, Progreso win, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions and probabilities at that time. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and market design. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to varied implied probabilities. Traders on Kalshi set prices through their bets, so the odds reflect crowd-sourced expectations rather than expert-curated ones.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome. The top outcome’s chance reflects the collective assessment of all participants on Kalshi, influenced by recent news, team form, and other relevant developments. This dynamic pricing adjusts continuously as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match conclusion, and the market will close based on that verified score or result. Timing depends on when authoritative sources confirm the final details post-event.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, any significant performance trends in preceding matches or media reports influencing public perception may cause price fluctuations. As the event nears, updated expert analyses or betting patterns may also impact trader sentiment and market prices.