TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Albion FC vs. CA Progreso
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Albion FC vs CA Progreso?

Volume:
$193,376

Progreso

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 4:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Progreso

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$58,445
N/A
N/A
$57,057
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Progreso

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Albion

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$80,797
N/A
N/A
$75,484
Settled
No
polymarket

Albion FC

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,734
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,342
N/A
N/A
$39,367
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Albion FC vs. CA Progreso)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$789
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Albion FC and CA Progreso in the Uruguay Primera Division, scheduled for September 5, 2026. Markets exist for Albion FC winning, CA Progreso winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A discrepancy exists in the scheduled game date between Polymarket (September 5th) and Kalshi (September 7th), and differing cancellation handling.Hero tip: Focus on the official game date announced by the governing body. The Polymarket market will remain open if the game is postponed, while the Kalshi market may be impacted by rescheduling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, the market resolves to 'No'. Date is September 5, 2026. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Date is September 7, 2026. No specific cancellation rule is stated, defaulting to standard Kalshi practices.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between Albion FC and CA Progreso.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Albion vs Progreso professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for September 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Albion wins, the 'Albion' market resolves to Yes. If Progreso wins, the 'Progreso' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those seen on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, whereas prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient and accurate pricing, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, factors like liquidity and market participation can also influence the difference between the two. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially in less popular events.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing interpretations of available information regarding the Albion vs. Progreso match, or variations in trader risk appetite, can contribute to divergent pricing. The volume of $193,376 suggests active trading, but the distribution of that volume across the platforms impacts how quickly prices converge or remain separated.