TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Sports
Albania vs. Belarus
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Albania vs. Belarus?

Volume:
$496,218

Albania

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 4:48 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Albania

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$163,503
N/A
N/A
$116,137
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Albania

100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$89,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ALB

99%
34%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$8,822
$47,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

BELA

1%
12%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$98
$14,507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Belarus

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69,759
N/A
N/A
$54,413
Settled
No
polymarket

Belarus

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,501
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

1%
23%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$80
$8,933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,046
N/A
N/A
$24,441
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Albania vs. Belarus)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Albania and Belarus scheduled for September 26, 2026. Markets include predicting a win for either team or a draw, all within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on the core resolution criteria: official match result within 90 minutes + stoppage time, data source hierarchy, and handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the official match result (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If official data is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used; if Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used; otherwise, a consensus of credible reporting is used.
  • Postponement extends the market's open duration until the match is completed.
  • Cancellation results in 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets on Polymarket/Predict, and 'Tie' on Kalshi.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Official Data: If no official data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Postponement: The market remains open until the game is completed if postponed.
  • Cancellation: Win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes' (Polymarket/Predict) or 'Tie' (Kalshi) if the game is canceled.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if official data is delayed, utilizing the specified data source hierarchy.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Albania and Belarus.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Albania vs Belarus UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Albania or Belarus occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time; a tied score resolves the 'Tie' market as 'Yes.' Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, reflecting the principles of fair resolution in contingent event markets.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Albania and Belarus.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can sometimes lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. The efficiency of this market is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately forecast the result.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Albania vs. Belarus match can arise due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Additionally, each platform may interpret available information or react to news differently, leading to varying probabilities. The differing incentives and risk appetites of traders on each platform also contribute to these divergences. While both platforms aim to predict the same outcome, these nuances can result in observable price differences on this market.