TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón
polymarket
kalshi

Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón

Volume:
$255,546

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 29, 2026

Closed: Mar 28, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60,650
N/A
N/A
$37,310
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Albacete

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,339
N/A
N/A
$39,568
Settled
No
polymarket

Albacete Balompié

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Castellon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,553
N/A
N/A
$22,617
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Castellón

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Albacete Balompié and CD Castellón scheduled for March 28, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Albacete win, draw, Castellón win) and Kalshi (a single catch-all market covering all three outcomes). Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with differentiated cancellation logic (Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation; win markets resolve No). Kalshi uses a single catch-all market that resolves Yes for any match outcome, making it functionally a bet on match completion rather than outcome prediction.Hero tip: Polymarket traders should recognize that the Draw market has built-in cancellation insurance (resolves Yes if match is canceled), while win markets do not. Kalshi's market is not suitable for outcome differentiation and should be treated as a proxy for match completion risk only. Do not attempt cross-platform hedging.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets (Albacete Win, Draw, Castellón Win). Cancellation rule asymmetry: Draw market resolves Yes if canceled; both win markets resolve No if canceled. Resolution source: official La Liga statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single omnibus market covering all three outcomes (Albacete win, Tie, Castellón win). Any outcome results in Yes resolution. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only (does not include extra time or penalties).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.