TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón
Volume:
$255,546
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Albacete Balompié and CD Castellón scheduled for March 28, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Albacete win, draw, Castellón win) and Kalshi (a single catch-all market covering all three outcomes). Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with differentiated cancellation logic (Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation; win markets resolve No). Kalshi uses a single catch-all market that resolves Yes for any match outcome, making it functionally a bet on match completion rather than outcome prediction.Hero Tip:
Polymarket traders should recognize that the Draw market has built-in cancellation insurance (resolves Yes if match is canceled), while win markets do not. Kalshi's market is not suitable for outcome differentiation and should be treated as a proxy for match completion risk only. Do not attempt cross-platform hedging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets (Albacete Win, Draw, Castellón Win). Cancellation rule asymmetry: Draw market resolves Yes if canceled; both win markets resolve No if canceled. Resolution source: official La Liga statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Single omnibus market covering all three outcomes (Albacete win, Tie, Castellón win). Any outcome results in Yes resolution. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only (does not include extra time or penalties).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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