Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three platforms (Polymarket and Kalshi) apply identical resolution logic: official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Turkish Football Federation (TFF) official statistics and event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours post-match.
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome determined by final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
Alanyaspor win market resolves Yes if Alanyaspor scores more goals than Samsunspor
Samsunspor win market resolves Yes if Samsunspor scores more goals than Alanyaspor
Draw market resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
If match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, draw market resolves Yes and both win markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date
Cancellation without makeup: Draw market resolves Yes; Alanyaspor win and Samsunspor win markets resolve No
Official statistics delay: If TFF does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used for resolution
Scope limitation: Resolution covers only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on April 27, 2026, following 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Official statistics or consensus reporting must be available within 2 hours post-match for immediate resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.