TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK
Volume:
$441,558
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Alanyaspor and Gençlerbirliği SK scheduled for March 9, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are being tracked across platforms: Alanyaspor win, Gençlerbirliği SK win, or a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
The draw/tie market has conflicting cancellation resolution logic. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES if the game is canceled with no make-up, while Kalshi provides no equivalent clause for its Tie outcome market, creating asymmetric settlement risk.Hero Tip:
Traders holding draw/tie positions should verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol before market close. If Kalshi defaults to NO on cancellation (standard for binary markets), draw bettors face unequal protection compared to Polymarket. Consolidate draw exposure on Polymarket if cancellation risk is a concern.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Alanyaspor win (YES if Alanyaspor wins, NO otherwise), Gençlerbirliği SK win (YES if Gençlerbirliği SK wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves draw market to YES. All markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets: Gençlerbirliği wins (YES if Gençlerbirliği wins after 90+stoppage), Alanyaspor wins (YES if Alanyaspor wins after 90+stoppage), and Tie (YES if tie after 90+stoppage). No explicit cancellation clause provided for any market. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.