TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in the Liga de Expansion MX. The result is determined solely by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers all possible outcomes of the match, including a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Alacranes vs Leones Negros professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for August 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Alacranes, a win for Leones Negros, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price according to the defined procedures. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result within the standard match duration.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in factors beyond standard sportsbook models, such as deeper event-specific analysis or real-time updates. The resulting probabilities can therefore appear more volatile or distinct compared to conventional sportsbook lines. This difference provides a unique perspective on the Alacranes vs Leones Negros matchup market, capturing crowd-sourced insights not always reflected in typical sports betting odds.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, which is compared against the market’s defined outcomes. As long as the game is played and reported accurately, the market will settle based on that verified score, providing a clear and transparent conclusion for all participants.
Several key signals could shift this market before it resolves on Aug 23, 2026. Major injuries to key players, coaching changes, or unexpected weather conditions might alter perceptions of team strength. High-profile performances in preceding matches, transfer rumors, or changes in team strategy could also influence trader sentiment. As the event date approaches, updated polling data, expert analysis, and betting trends may cause noticeable movement. Any development that significantly impacts the perceived likelihood of outcomes will affect this market’s pricing on Kalshi in the days leading to resolution.