TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 11:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Alacranes and Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the final scoreline of the match.
The event consists of six sub-markets, each evaluating whether the total goals scored in the Alacranes vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for September 17, 2026, exceed specific thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). All markets resolve based on goals scored within the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the actual total goals surpass the respective threshold for that sub-market. Each sub-market operates independently, allowing participants to assess different levels of scoring intensity. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of participants believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. However, as the event approaches, the prices in both venues tend to converge as more information becomes available and public sentiment solidifies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Alacranes vs Cruz Azul match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, influencing the price movement.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Alacranes vs Cruz Azul match will be used to determine the winning contract. Any official data sources used to verify the result will be considered authoritative. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Alacranes or Cruz Azul Hidalgo would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a shift in expected goal scoring could sway market sentiment. Public betting patterns in sportsbooks, while not directly reflected here, can sometimes influence trader behavior and contribute to price fluctuations.