TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Liga de Expansion MX match between Alacranes and Cruz Azul Hidalgo, this event checks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on whether each team finds the back of the net within regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty phases.
If Alacranes and Cruz Azul Hidalgo both score a goal in the Alacranes vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo Liga de Expansion MX match originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of individuals actively trading on the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of both teams scoring. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. Higher demand for contracts indicating 'Yes' (both teams to score) will drive up the price, while increased selling will lower it. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Alacranes and Cruz Azul Hidalgo score at least one goal during the match. Official match results will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will settle to 100 if both teams score, and 0 if either team fails to score. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Alacranes or Cruz Azul Hidalgo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or referee assignments might also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment, potentially driving price fluctuations as the match approaches.