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455,542
Markets across
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62%
Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5
- Polymarket
Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 17, 2026
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This market tracks whether Tennessee will make over 1.5 field goals of 40+ yards in their game against Alabama. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi is 100%. Resolution will be based on the final game result as reported by NCAA.com. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 17th, as the outcome of this contest will determine the market’s resolution.
In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Tennessee, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. This market will resolve to "Tennessee" if Tennessee win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the result of the Alabama vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially determined, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final, official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Tennessee, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. This market will resolve to "Tennessee" if Tennessee win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the wisdom of the crowd, where traders directly express their beliefs about the outcome by buying and selling contracts. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. The difference can also reflect differing levels of public information and analysis incorporated into each pricing mechanism.
Prices for the Alabama-Tennessee football game may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Different levels of participation and trading volume on each platform can also create discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific market structures offered on each platform – for example, different contract types or settlement mechanisms – can lead to variations in how traders assess and price the outcome. These differences are normal and reflect the independent nature of each market.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Oct 17, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final result of the Alabama-Tennessee football game, verified against credible public reporting. The platform will confirm the winning team based on official game statistics and results. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the market’s payout structure. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual event outcome as reported by trusted sources.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 17, 2026. Key player injuries on either the Alabama or Tennessee team would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected coaching changes or significant news regarding team morale could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, major weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions during the game could impact the perceived advantage of either team. Any late-breaking news related to team performance or player availability will be quickly incorporated into the prices on both Polymarket and Kalshi.