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Closed: Oct 3, 3:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Alabama’s total rushing yards will be over or under 125.5 yards in their game against Mississippi State. Currently, the Polymarket market gives a 100.0% probability to Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the outcome of the game itself on October 3rd at 1:00PM ET, as that will directly determine whether Alabama exceeds the rushing yard threshold.
In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Mississippi State, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Alabama-Mississippi State game, as officially reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. A surprising performance by either team in a prior game, or even compelling analysis from sports commentators, might also cause price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or social media, can sometimes play a role, though the market tends to be more driven by informed traders and data-driven analysis.