TOTAL VOLUME:
$139.2b
24H VOL:
$164,783,081
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,525,689,812
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,607,451,563
479,294
Markets across
37,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,906
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Alabama will win its college football game against Mississippi State. Currently, the probability of Alabama winning on Kalshi is 99.0%, with Mississippi State winning at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Alabama vs Mississippi State game originally scheduled for October 3, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 3, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market.
The event resolves based on the winner of the Alabama vs Mississippi State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If either team secures a victory in the officially played match, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi emphasizes that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can be more sensitive to nuanced information and less susceptible to biases found in traditional betting. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on public perception, this market can shift more rapidly based on analysis and inside information.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alabama vs Mississippi State game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be settled based on their positions at the time of resolution, reflecting whether their predictions aligned with the final result. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting game conditions are also a potential catalyst. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by informed trading rather than general opinion. Major upsets in other relevant games could also indirectly affect trader confidence and volume.