TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how many touchdowns are scored by players catching passes in an upcoming college football game. The outcome depends on whether specific teams reach certain thresholds of such scores during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of receiving touchdowns scored by either Alabama or Kentucky in their game scheduled for September 12, 2026, including any overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as one scored by the player who caught the pass; if another player recovers a fumble and scores, it does not count as a receiving touchdown, though if the original receiver recovers their own fumble and scores, it does count. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within that 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, aiming to accurately forecast the likelihood of teams scoring touchdowns. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially offering a different view on the game's likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether teams will score touchdowns. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a team is likely to score, the price of the 'yes' contract increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether each team scores at least one touchdown during the Alabama vs Kentucky game. The final result will be determined by official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather conditions that could affect the passing or running game. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, any substantial shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, might prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.