TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance difference between Alabama and Kentucky during the second quarter of their scheduled college football game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other in that specific quarter, without considering the final game result.
The event determines whether Alabama or Kentucky wins the second quarter of their college football game by a specified margin. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold, with outcomes ranging from narrow victories (e.g., over 2.5 points) to larger margins (e.g., over 10.5 points). Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within this window, the market resolves to a fair price. The event is strictly for informational purposes and is not endorsed by the NCAA.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. It is common to see differences between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. These discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Alabama versus Kentucky game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which side of the spread—Alabama or Kentucky—ultimately performed better during the second quarter, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Alabama or Kentucky teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could affect trader sentiment. Public perception, influenced by media coverage and expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.