TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of an upcoming college football game between Alabama and Kentucky. Each outcome represents a different point total benchmark that determines whether the collective first-quarter scoring exceeds that level.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Alabama vs Kentucky college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined first-quarter points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For all markets, only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, trading remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those initially offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes publicly available, as this market dynamically adjusts based on participant beliefs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more likely the market believes that outcome will happen. Traders can set their own buy and sell orders, influencing the price based on their analysis and insights. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential first quarter total.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the first quarter of the Alabama versus Kentucky game will be used to determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contracts will pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for the resolution of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Alabama or Kentucky would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift the price, reflecting changing sentiment among traders.