TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Alabama Crimson Tide and Louisville Cardinals on March 23 at 12:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Alabama win OR Louisville win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner (Alabama Crimson Tide or Louisville Cardinals) based on game outcome, with a 50-50 cancellation clause as fallback.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade on Kalshi — the market rules state it resolves YES regardless of whether Alabama or Louisville wins, meaning there is no NO outcome possible. This is a data integrity failure. Polymarket is the only tradeable market in this group, as it properly resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Market resolves YES if Louisville wins AND YES if Alabama wins, creating a logical impossibility where both outcomes trigger YES resolution. Key quote: 'If Louisville wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Market resolves to exactly one outcome — either 'Alabama Crimson Tide' or 'Louisville Cardinals' — based on final game score, with 50-50 split only if game is canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'If the Alabama Crimson Tide win, the market will resolve to Alabama Crimson Tide. If the Louisville Cardinals win, the market will resolve to Louisville Cardinals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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