TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AL vs NL: Spread
kalshi

AL vs NL: Spread

Volume:
$2,063,125

AL wins by over 2.5 runs

 - Kalshi

AL wins by over 2.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 15, 2026

Closed: Jul 14, 11:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

AL wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$692,247
N/A
N/A
$298,407
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AL wins by over 3.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$411,993
N/A
N/A
$155,527
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AL wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$245,818
N/A
N/A
$113,109
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NL wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$442,179
N/A
N/A
$303,006
Settled
No
kalshi

AL wins by over 4.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$103,115
N/A
N/A
$90,682
Settled
No
kalshi

AL wins by over 5.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,424
N/A
N/A
$67,604
Settled
No
kalshi

NL wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,112
N/A
N/A
$29,737
Settled
No
kalshi

NL wins by over 3.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,028
N/A
N/A
$12,298
Settled
No
kalshi

NL wins by over 5.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,771
N/A
N/A
$8,470
Settled
No
kalshi

NL wins by over 4.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,436
N/A
N/A
$5,373
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event focuses on the margin of victory in the AL vs NL professional baseball game scheduled for July 14, 2026. Bettors predict whether one league will win by a specific run differential, with separate markets for AL victories and NL victories at various margins.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final run differential between the AL and NL teams in the game originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. Markets are structured to capture both AL and NL victory scenarios across different margin thresholds. An AL-focused market resolves to Yes if the AL wins by more than its specified run margin (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 runs). Similarly, an NL-focused market resolves to Yes if the NL wins by more than its specified run margin (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 runs). The final official score determines the winner and exact margin of victory.