TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club
Volume:
$127,314
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Taawoun Saudi Club and Al Fayha Saudi Club scheduled for February 20, 2026. Markets span three outcome categories: match winner (Al Taawoun win, Al Fayha win, or draw) and goal margin thresholds (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal victories for either team).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's cancellation clause creates an asymmetric payout structure (draw resolves YES, wins resolve NO if game is canceled with no make-up). Kalshi omits cancellation guidance entirely, delegating to platform discretion.Hero Tip:
Treat cancellation as a tail risk. Polymarket's draw market is a hidden hedge against cancellation; Kalshi's markets lack this protection. Confirm with both platforms whether postponement (vs. cancellation) triggers different outcomes, and whether a rescheduled game counts as the same event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary markets (Al Taawoun win, Al Fayha win, draw). Win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up; draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. Postponement keeps markets open. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (wins) vs. 'Yes' (draw).
- Kalshi: Four markets on goal margin thresholds: Al-Taawoun >2.5 goals, Al-Fayha >2.5 goals, Al-Taawoun >1.5 goals, Al-Fayha >1.5 goals. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: 'originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026' (no contingency language).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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