TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club
kalshi
polymarket

Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club

Volume:
$134,648

Al Taawoun Saudi Club

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 6, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Al Taawoun Saudi Club

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Al-Taawoun

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,479
N/A
N/A
$13,338
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Al Fateh Saudi Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Al-Fateh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,742
N/A
N/A
$3,567
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,864
N/A
N/A
$1,195
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Taawoun and Al Fateh scheduled for March 6, 2026. Three related markets exist across Kalshi and Polymarket, each addressing the final result (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket applies asymmetric cancellation resolution (draw resolves Yes, wins resolve No), while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause. This creates potential inconsistency if the match is canceled without a makeup game.Hero tip: Monitor official Saudi Pro League announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while win markets resolve No—a logical inconsistency. Contact both platforms for clarification on their cancellation protocols before the match date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if its specific outcome occurs (Al-Fateh win, Tie, or Al-Taawoun win). No explicit cancellation clause provided. All outcomes treated symmetrically.
  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic: Al Taawoun win and Al Fateh win markets resolve No if game is canceled; draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (wins) vs. 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.