TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Taawoun and Al Fateh scheduled for March 6, 2026. Three related markets exist across Kalshi and Polymarket, each addressing the final result (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket applies asymmetric cancellation resolution (draw resolves Yes, wins resolve No), while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause. This creates potential inconsistency if the match is canceled without a makeup game.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Saudi Pro League announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while win markets resolve No—a logical inconsistency. Contact both platforms for clarification on their cancellation protocols before the match date.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if its specific outcome occurs (Al-Fateh win, Tie, or Al-Taawoun win). No explicit cancellation clause provided. All outcomes treated symmetrically.Polymarket:
Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic: Al Taawoun win and Al Fateh win markets resolve No if game is canceled; draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (wins) vs. 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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