TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Professional League match between Al Shabab Saudi Club and Al Okhdood SC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span spread betting (goal-margin outcomes), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score, with resolution based on official final scores within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses mutually exclusive spread outcomes (one team wins by threshold or the other does), while Kalshi uses independent binary threshold markets. Both reference the same underlying event but structure resolution differently, creating potential confusion on outcome mapping.Hero Tip:
Polymarket spreads are zero-sum: exactly one outcome wins. Kalshi spreads are independent: multiple can resolve YES. Confirm which platform's market structure you hold before the match concludes. Both use official final score from slstat.com within 90+stoppage, so the underlying data source is unified.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Spread markets are mutually exclusive pairs. Al Shabab (-2.5) YES = Al Shabab wins by 3+; otherwise NO. Al Okhdood (-2.5) YES = Al Okhdood wins by 3+; otherwise NO. Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) are standard total-goals thresholds. Both Teams to Score is binary (Yes if both score at least 1, No if either scores 0). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Al Shabab Saudi Club if Al Shabab Saudi Club win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Al Okhdood SC.'Kalshi:
Four independent binary markets: (1) Al-Shabab wins by >1.5 goals = Yes/No, (2) Al-Akhdoud wins by >2.5 goals = Yes/No, (3) Al-Shabab wins by >2.5 goals = Yes/No, (4) Al-Akhdoud wins by >1.5 goals = Yes/No. Each resolves independently; multiple can be Yes. Quote: 'If Al-Shabab wins by more than 1.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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