This event group covers a Saudi Professional League match between Al Riyadh and Al Shabab scheduled for April 5, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets span multiple spread thresholds (-1.5, -2.5 goals), total goals over/under lines (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and a both-teams-to-score proposition across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Spread market structure differs between platforms (binary outcome vs. four separate Yes/No markets), and Kalshi's 'more than' threshold language creates potential ambiguity versus Polymarket's explicit 'win by X or more goals' phrasing. Resolution source and fallback procedures are explicit on Polymarket but absent on Kalshi.
Hero Tip:
Verify with Kalshi that 'more than 1.5 goals' aligns with Polymarket's 'win by 2 or more goals' interpretation. Confirm both platforms use slstat.com as primary source. Monitor for any official score corrections within 2 hours post-match on Polymarket; Kalshi's correction window is undefined.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Spread markets (-1.5, -2.5) are binary outcomes (Team A wins by threshold vs. Team B). Explicit resolution: 'Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)' resolves YES if Al Riyadh wins by 2 or more goals, otherwise NO. Primary source is slstat.com; if not published within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus applies. All markets scope to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Kalshi:
Four separate Yes/No markets for spread outcomes: 'Al-Shabab wins by more than 2.5 goals' (Yes/No), 'Al-Riyadh wins by more than 2.5 goals' (Yes/No), 'Al-Riyadh wins by more than 1.5 goals' (Yes/No), 'Al-Shabab wins by more than 1.5 goals' (Yes/No). No explicit resolution source, fallback procedure, or correction window specified. Scope is 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.