This event group covers a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Riyadh Saudi Club and Al Khaleej Saudi Club scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory: all three mutually exclusive match outcomes (tie, Al-Riyadh win, Al-Khaleej win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent, differentiated logic with explicit cancellation handling.
Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi markets as unresolvable due to logical impossibility. Polymarket markets are tradeable and clear: the draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while win markets resolve No on cancellation. Always verify final match status on slstat.com before any settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: All three outcomes (Tie wins, Al-Riyadh wins, Al-Khaleej wins) are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility since only one outcome can occur. No cancellation clause is explicitly stated. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Al-Riyadh wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Al-Khaleej wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Three separate markets with coherent, mutually exclusive logic: Draw market resolves Yes if draw occurs or game is canceled with no makeup; Al-Khaleej win market resolves Yes only if Al-Khaleej wins (No if canceled); Al-Riyadh win market resolves Yes only if Al-Riyadh wins (No if canceled). Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market) vs 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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