TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club
Volume:
$304,516
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Riyadh Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club scheduled for February 26, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: Al Riyadh win, Al Ahli win, or draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation announcements. On Polymarket, a canceled match with no reschedule triggers YES on draw but NO on both win markets—a logical inconsistency that favors draw holders. Kalshi's silence on cancellation means you should seek clarification from the platform before the event date or assume standard sports convention (likely NO or void). Hedge accordingly if holding cross-platform positions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Al Riyadh Win and Al Ahli Win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. All three measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve No'.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Tie, Al-Riyadh Win, Al Ahli Win) with no explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Each resolves YES if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No guidance provided on game cancellation, postponement, or rescheduling. Key Quote: No cancellation language present in any market description.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.