TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club
polymarket
kalshi

Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club

Volume:
$304,516

Al Ahli Saudi

 - Kalshi

Al Ahli Saudi - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 26, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Al Ahli Saudi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$109,936
N/A
N/A
$59,164
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Al Ahli Saudi Club

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Al-Riyadh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,069
N/A
N/A
$30,943
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,433
N/A
N/A
$22,145
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Riyadh Saudi Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Riyadh Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club scheduled for February 26, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: Al Riyadh win, Al Ahli win, or draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero tip: Monitor for cancellation announcements. On Polymarket, a canceled match with no reschedule triggers YES on draw but NO on both win markets—a logical inconsistency that favors draw holders. Kalshi's silence on cancellation means you should seek clarification from the platform before the event date or assume standard sports convention (likely NO or void). Hedge accordingly if holding cross-platform positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Al Riyadh Win and Al Ahli Win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. All three measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve No'.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Tie, Al-Riyadh Win, Al Ahli Win) with no explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Each resolves YES if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No guidance provided on game cancellation, postponement, or rescheduling. Key Quote: No cancellation language present in any market description.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.