TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Al Qadisiyah vs. Al Ettifaq?

Volume:
$1,594,445

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 1:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$438,983
N/A
N/A
$213,907
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club)

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$84,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Al Qadsiah

View
0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$456,374
N/A
N/A
$214,596
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club

View
0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106,491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Al-Ittifaq

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$416,950
N/A
N/A
$220,260
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Ettifaq Saudi Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Qadisiyah and Al Ettifaq on September 11, 2026, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is slstat.com. Al Qadisiyah winning has a probability of 0.1%. Keep an eye on September 11, 2026, as this date represents the scheduled end of the match and will determine the market’s resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves 'No' on cancellation, while Kalshi implicitly requires the game to be played.Hero tip: Polymarket markets offer downside protection in the event of cancellation, while Kalshi markets do not. Consider this when evaluating relative value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation rule is provided, implying the game must be played to resolve.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Friday, September 11, 2026 between Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club and Al Ettifaq Saudi Club.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Al Qadsiah vs Al-Ittifaq professional Saudi Pro League soccer match scheduled for September 11, 2026: a win for Al Qadsiah, a win for Al-Ittifaq, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price based on the circumstances. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalties, focusing only on the result within the standard match duration.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates data from multiple prediction markets focused on the Saudi Club Football match. Currently, the total volume across these markets is $1,594,445, with $1,436,797 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors a win for one team, while Kalshi shows a different outcome as more likely. This allows for a consensus view of probabilities, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on these platforms. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the market's sentiment and activity surrounding this event.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting volume and ensure profit margins, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. This market’s odds reflect the aggregated forecasts of informed traders, potentially incorporating unique insights not fully captured by sportsbooks. The volume of $1,594,445 suggests a degree of interest and potentially greater accuracy compared to less liquid markets. It’s important to compare both to gain a well-rounded perspective.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading fees, and market-making strategies. Polymarket may attract more sophisticated traders with specialized knowledge of Saudi Club Football, while Kalshi might have a broader, more general audience. Furthermore, the liquidity on each platform – currently $1,594,445 overall – can influence price discovery. Different interpretations of available information and varying risk appetites among traders also contribute to these price divergences. This market represents a fascinating case study in how diverse trading dynamics can shape probabilities.